Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.023509 0.028441 0.033624 0.039436 0.045730 0.052305 0.059659
2026-02-08 0.014669 0.021177 0.028580 0.037415 0.047491 0.058470 0.071200
2026-02-15 0.009829 0.016982 0.025746 0.036762 0.049823 0.064485 0.081890
2026-02-22 0.007090 0.014616 0.024482 0.037417 0.053214 0.071326 0.093181
2026-03-01 0.005156 0.012820 0.023558 0.038176 0.056473 0.077812 0.103888
2026-03-08 0.003920 0.011717 0.023319 0.039615 0.060413 0.084983 0.115291
2026-03-15 0.002787 0.010445 0.022640 0.040330 0.063342 0.090865 0.125118
2026-03-22 0.002531 0.010684 0.024102 0.043854 0.069766 0.100923 0.139843
2026-03-29 0.001461 0.008903 0.022338 0.042876 0.070388 0.103901 0.146139
2026-04-05 0.000929 0.008019 0.021826 0.043528 0.073027 0.109279 0.155247
2026-04-12 0.000468 0.006949 0.020861 0.043441 0.074638 0.113345 0.162742
2026-04-19 0.000208 0.006182 0.020294 0.043856 0.076856 0.118126 0.171070
2026-04-26 0.000037 0.005278 0.019417 0.043851 0.078626 0.122509 0.179140
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003846 0.017252 0.041753 0.077491 0.123200 0.182698
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003011 0.016076 0.041067 0.078203 0.126175 0.189010
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002620 0.015796 0.041762 0.080800 0.131535 0.198242
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002296 0.015602 0.042565 0.083529 0.137052 0.207660
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002155 0.015848 0.044087 0.087267 0.143870 0.218690
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001878 0.015655 0.044843 0.089901 0.149251 0.227932
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002189 0.017187 0.048562 0.096781 0.160153 0.244052
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001605 0.015979 0.047531 0.096836 0.162170 0.249100
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001380 0.015781 0.048219 0.099342 0.167369 0.258108
2026-07-05 NaN 0.001070 0.015166 0.048127 0.100695 0.171043 0.265198